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Old 11-22-2020, 12:36 AM   #7096
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Originally Posted by Yakoo752 View Post
My peninsula customers expect their ICUs to max out in about 3 weeks if trend stays the same.
Is beds available generally the bottleneck for capacity and not personnel available?

Reason I ask is I don’t see many numbers of the staffing levels and their ability to handle X amount of concurrent hospitalizations.
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Old 11-22-2020, 07:00 AM   #7097
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State and local jurisdictions determine how many beds you can have, as they license them to you.

Based on patient volumes, you determine how many of those you want to staff.

Hospitals never operate at full licensed bed capacity. I think, on average, they staff near 70%. They operate about 80% of that. (I’m on holiday without access to my computer so #s may be off)

Staffing is always the constraint.

The law and hospital policy determine how many patients a person can manage at a time. As you handle more patients, patient safety declines.
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Last edited by Yakoo752; 11-22-2020 at 07:02 AM..
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Old 11-22-2020, 08:45 AM   #7098
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You cannot overlap the two curves.

Because then you’re suggesting x% of those who tested are hospitalized and that’s not true.

It’s why I split them out.
There's no reason you cannot overlap those curves and it nicely illustrates the correlation of the two. It does not suggest anything other than the scales are equal. Look, hospitalizations were twice infections early on, not a % of them. Even today our infection numbers are BS. If we were actually measuring infections, hospitalizations would be a flat line at the bottom, and you'd need to plot them on a second scale on the right-hand side to see them.

To me the plot of hospitalizations are an indicator of infection spread relative to or our testing, which only happens for distinct reasons. That will change when our populace is weeded of its weak and infirm.

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Old 11-22-2020, 09:21 AM   #7099
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It’s 2 different y axis

You can’t do that
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Old 11-22-2020, 10:21 AM   #7100
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Crazy how low the "good" new number is.

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Poll of the week: A new Gallup poll finds that 58% of Americans said they would get vaccinated against the coronavirus if there was an FDA-approved vaccine available right now at no cost.

That's up from mid-September when just 50% said they would get vaccinated.
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Old 11-22-2020, 10:41 AM   #7101
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Crazy how low the "good" new number is.
Here is something free that could possibly save your life and likely end the pandemic.

Naw, no thanks. I like things just the way they are.
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Old 11-22-2020, 11:23 AM   #7102
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Here is something free that could possibly save your life and likely end the pandemic.

Naw, no thanks. I like things just the way they are.
Crazy.

Some guy on another forum in a Virus section is bragging that he's having 22 over for Thanksgiving.
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Old 11-22-2020, 12:35 PM   #7103
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This has me scratching my head a bit...

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Old 11-22-2020, 03:04 PM   #7104
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What do you think you're looking at?
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Old 11-22-2020, 03:18 PM   #7105
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Weeeeeeell....what I think I'm looking at is a 100% reclassification of the flu to Covid, at least for this category and at least for this period of of time. Of course I couldn't say what they decide to do for backfilling data later on..
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Old 11-22-2020, 03:31 PM   #7106
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What's the source of the image?
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Old 11-22-2020, 03:37 PM   #7107
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Straight from qanonsciencepros.com, they're pretty much the authority on this stuff.
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Old 11-22-2020, 04:15 PM   #7108
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Old 11-22-2020, 04:24 PM   #7109
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Sorry was having trouble finding it again...

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

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Flu activity is unusually low at this time but may increase in the coming months.
I'm curious to see what that pediatric mortality rate looks like in January.
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Old 11-22-2020, 04:31 PM   #7110
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Think about the dynamics of the pandemic, with social distancing and everything else involved. In 2018 between week 24 and week 36 there were zero deaths reported.

I don't there there is really anything to see here.
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