You think any of this has to do with the races and an increase of riders in general?
Two questions, and two answers:
- Maybe, but I kind of doubt it.
- Maybe, there's certainly a seasonal increase in riders, but I'm not aware of an absolute increase in riders.
As a rider, just as in the case of almost any human experience, the only variable I can hope to control is myself. If my experience and (relative) safety as a rider is something I see as entirely dependent upon the actions of others, then I'm just waiting for one of those others to off me. I would quit riding this minute if I didn't believe that it was within my power to improve my odds.
This seasonal uptick in injuries and deaths is an annual occurrence. I know it's coming, and yet it still shocks me when it happens. Those of us who are year round riders always notice the shift in the number of riders this time of year, and the noticeable change in judgment and skill on display. While it's true that some won't listen to pleas to ride within their skills, if any do, then it's worthwhile to bring them that message.
Last night I decided to take advantage of the long day to turn my ~1 hour commute into a ~3-1/2 hour commute, and that's what took me past one of those fatalities. Loads of police cars (at least 6), one lane closed, then there it was - the yellow tarp, the damaged helmet, the damaged car, the bike out of sight (I'm guessing in the ditch). Anyone who has been riding for awhile could read the scene and draw some inferences about the likely crash scenario.
It was chilling.
As I got back towards my house I came upon two riders of brand new, identical bikes, dealer placards still in place. I rode behind them as they passed somewhat aggressively through traffic. At each red light, one of them struggled to both come to a stop without dropping the bike, and start again without stalling it. His buddy didn't look much more accomplished. Yet they appeared to make speed, position, and lane changing choices as if they believed their skills were up to the task. With the scene of the fatality in my mind, I could only hope that they'll develop the skills they need before the lack of those skills catches up to them. I hope that's true for all of us.