On my phone, so bear with me. First part, you literally took the words right out of my mouth (post). I even pulled part of the article that nearly verbatim says what you just said about HRT’s and gender reassignment surgery.
The data, regardless of who’s picking it, is incomplete, because it’s study in any kind of meaningful manner is still extremely new. That, in and of itself, is the reason to woah it up. Towit, I have yet to see a doctor who isn’t an activist speak begrudgingly about HRT, gender reassignment surgery, or transitioning in general. What I have seen is doctors who don’t have an axe to grind say “maybe we should take a better look at this before we go full ham on it.l, the data is incomplete and some of it is conflicting.”
Quit looking for affirmation. Especially if you’ve got zero skin (literally and figuratively) in the game.
40% have attempted suicide. The information is freely available, and easy to find. 80+% have thought about it.
https://www.webmd.com/sex-relationships/what-is-transphobia
With suicide rates being as high as they are, it leads me to think that being Gender Dysphoria is not being treated medically as it should be at the risk of offending people, and at the cost of harming people. It also leads me to think that children taking HRT is not a good answer to the issue, especially with the minuscule impact it has on changing the outcome, taken alongside the amount of people who have transition regret and the suicide rate among those who have that.
Since you asked about my skin in the game. I have trans family members, I have dated trans people, I have many trans friends. I have 'skin in the game' because people I care about are targets of transphobia, and I've seen the harm it does.
The data on trans people in sports is incomplete, the data on the process of transitioning is far, far more developed.
First, looking at the medications. The first drug trans children tend to go on are puberty blockers, they were FDA approved in 1993, are well researched, have far fewer major side effects and are much safer than Adderall. They are used to treat a variety of issues, gender dysphoria is just one of them, and are safe if taken as prescribed.
Then we get to the artificial hormones. Testosterone first became available as a medication in 1937. Estrogen as a medication first became available in 1933. So, they have been very extensively studied. They are near exact replacements for the respective natural hormones. Very well studied, their potential side effects are well understood. They are safe taken as prescribed.
Gender specific hormone blockers. Androgen blockers for trans women, one early one was made available in 1959. They are used to treat a variety of things, very well studied, safe taken as prescribed. For trans men, MPA, also created in 1959, also used to treat a variety of issues, well researched, and safe used as prescribed.
That's not an exhaustive list, but you get the idea, the drugs are well researched and quite safe to use as prescribed by the doctor. New and better versions are coming out all the time, just as they are with other drugs, but they go through the same extensive testing for FDA approval as all other drugs.
As to trans people themselves. trans people have been around forever. We literally have found ancient burial sites of people who were male in terms of biology, but were buried, respectfully, as women. Numerous other societies have had more genders as their standards than the 2 that have been standard here for a few centuries. So, no, that's not a new thing either.
The only thing that is new is that trans people are no longer being shoved down into the shadows as much. People are starting to feel more comfortable living as they want on their terms, instead of on yours.
The increased suicide rates, when trans people are able to get the medical care and immediate family support, pretty well match the rates for gay or lesbian people. We actually have a pretty good idea what the cause is. Guess what, it's the bigotry. The more open and accepting an area, the lower the suicide rate for all LGBTQ people.
As to 'what about doing some other treatment.' What it sounds like you are asking for is for a medical treatment to rewrite trans people's brains in a way that makes you more comfortable. Not only is that not remotely possible with our current medical abilities, the ethical issues with that are massive. The reason that trans people have mental health issues with depression and suicidal ideation is because so much of our current society treats them as lesser, literally as subhuman. There is a reason that having even one close person who is supportive massively helps trans people's mental health, and there is a reason being able to get the care they need also massively helps with their mental health. Generally, the less bigoted a society is, the better the outcomes for everyone.